Credit Access & Financial Inclusion

Analyzing financial inclusion gaps in Uzbekistan, simulating policy interventions, and demonstrating how alternative credit scoring can expand access for underserved borrowers.

Financial Inclusion Overview

Uzbekistan vs Central Asia vs World averages

Bank Account Ownership

Uzbekistan
37%
Central Asia
44%
World
76%

Credit Access

Uzbekistan
11%
Central Asia
16%
World
27%

Mobile Money

Uzbekistan
18%
Central Asia
22%
World
33%

Women's Financial Access

Uzbekistan
28%
Central Asia
37%
World
74%
Uzbekistan
Central Asia Avg
World Avg

Data: World Bank Global Findex 2021

Intervention Simulator

Toggle policies and adjust parameters to project impact on account ownership

40%
40%90%
200
200800
2032 Baseline49%
2032 With Interventions49%
Projected Gain+0.0pp

Bank Account Ownership Projection (2024-2032)

Analysis

Current intervention levels produce marginal improvement over baseline. Consider scaling mobile banking coverage or enabling alternative credit scoring for significant impact.

Account Ownership

49%

No change

vs 49% baseline

Credit Access

23%

No change

vs 23% baseline

Mobile Money

30%

No change

vs 30% baseline

Women's Access

40%

No change

vs 40% baseline

Credit Scoring Demo

See how alternative data transforms credit decisions for underserved borrowers

Quick Profiles

Traditional Score

410/ 850
650
Denied

Enhanced Score

Alt Data
610/ 850
650
Under Review

How Alternative Data Helps

The enhanced model adds +200 points by incorporating alternative data sources: utility payment consistency, mobile top-up regularity, and community reputation.

This borrower would be denied under traditional scoring but review with the enhanced model — exactly the kind of creditworthy borrower invisible to conventional systems.

About This Model

Alternative data sources (utility bills, mobile usage patterns, community reputation) reveal creditworthy borrowers invisible to traditional scoring systems. This approach draws on Amirbek's work at AloqaBank analyzing credit risk models for underbanked populations.

Gender Gap Analysis

Financial access disparities between men and women in Uzbekistan

Account Access

Gap:17pp

Women are 17 percentage points less likely to own a bank account, limiting economic participation.

Formal Loan Access

Gap:8pp

Only 7% of women have access to formal loans vs 15% of men, restricting entrepreneurship.

Digital Payments

Gap:13pp

A 13pp gap in digital payment usage leaves women further behind in the cashless transition.

Policy Implication

Gender-disaggregated data reveals that financial inclusion policies must explicitly target women to close persistent access gaps. Mobile banking and alternative credit scoring show the highest potential for reducing gender disparities, as they bypass traditional barriers like formal employment requirements and collateral demands.
Sources: World Bank Global Findex Database 2021, Central Bank of Uzbekistan, IMF Financial Access Survey. Projection models are simplified for demonstration purposes.